HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Yuck. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Forecast for a Month World United States Arizona Weather in Phoenix Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 Phoenix Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. AccuWeather long-range forecasters are predicting that 40 to 50 inches will accumulate in the city, around the average snowfall amount of 49.2 inches. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Enter any city, zip or place. So, what about this month? The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. Please try another search. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. The weather in Arizona in January is good. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. NWS The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. Feb March 2023 . With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. Add the current city. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. Questions? January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Get Downloadable Images and More Here. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. . NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. All rights reserved. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. We know that finding the ideal hotel in Arizona can be a hard task Thats why we run our special tools and found the best hotels in Arizona. When Does It End? The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. AccuWeather's winter forecast. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. US Dept of Commerce Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. January climate data across southeast Arizona. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Thank you! 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture .
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